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Fantasy Football Wide Receivers: Half-A-Dozen ADP Duds

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Julio Jones

Yes, Julio.

Julio has a thing for broken bones. Actually, it’s his foot bone that has a thing for being broken.

The foot bone he broke in 2011 went for an encore performance and broke again in Week 5 of the 2013 season. He didn’t play the rest of the season.

Now Jones is parroting what most injured players say about their injuries during the offseason: “ahead of schedule...feels great...actually stronger now...etc. etc.”

One comment that you should actually pay attention to is when Jones said he is targeting a Week 1 return. Targeting Week 1. Go ahead and draft a guy in the second round who may miss that target.

Truth is, players often exaggerate their return dates. 

I’m not banking my second-round pick on a guy who I’m really hoping hits his targeted return date. There are other, more reliable, options available who will give you what Jones will but without the need to take Prozac every Sunday morning because of Jones’ fragile foot bone.

Don’t get it twisted—it’s Jordy over Jones.

Percy Harvin

If you own Percy Harvin on your fantasy team, you must be related to him.

At the pace of games played since Week 9 of the 2012 season (he has played three games over the past 25 games), it’ll take Harvin about 132 games to get his full 16 games in.

Harvin is so fragile the Seahawks made the guy sit on his blankie for part of OTAs. And we’re talking about a healthy Harvin here. Sheesh.

Skip Harvin.

I know this is fantasy, but you don’t get any points for the idea of a guy—he's got to actually lace 'em up to get you points.

Larry Fitzgerald

Fitz Catch

We’ve seen a changing of a couple No. 1’s this offseason. In Minnesota, Greg Jennings has outright ceded the No. 1 spot to Cordarrelle Patterson. And in Chicago, Brandon Marshall is desparately clawing up the side of the cliff to hang on to his No. 1 spot.

In Arizona we’ll likely see the same thing with Larry Fitzgerald and Michael Floyd this season.

I’m not saying Floyd has Fitzgerald’s talent. Only a small handful do.  But what I am saying is Fitzgerald is starting to get AARP applications in the mail while Floyd has only been able to legally purchase alcohol for three years now.

In other words, Fitzgerald has passed his prime and Floyd is blossoming into his.

Amazingly, Fitz is being plucked off the board in the early fourth round in most mocks, while Floyd is the bargain a full round later.  Not to mention you can get Roddy White if you wait until the fifth round. White will out perform Fitzgerald in 2014. No question.

I like Fitz as much as the next guy or girl, but don't be swayed by the name. Wait on Floyd.

Andre Johnson

After 11 seasons, Andre Johnson is still looking for that oh-so-illusive double-digit touchdown season. He came this close in 2009 when he notched nine scores. But for a 7-time Pro Bowler, you’d think the guy would've had at least one double-digit touchdown season.

Not so much.

And now, Johnson goes from a bad quarterback to a really bad quarterback (unless he gets traded). If you expect him to improve statistically, then you're simply ignoring every single circumstance surrounding this guy. Let someone else draft him.

If you absolutely have to have an “oldie but goodie” wideout, then take Marques Colston. Colston is severely underrated and still has a couple WR2 seasons left in him.

DeSean Jackson

DeSean RGIII

DeSean Jackson will not be on any of my fantasy teams this year. His teammate, Pierre, will be, however.

Jackson is a solid addition to the Redskins offense, but not for the reason you may think. He’s valuable to help the other offensive components.

Pierre Garcon, RGIII, Jordan Reed, Alfred Morris and Roy Helu are the ones who will improve because of Jackson’s presence on the field. Jackson running streak routes demands attention the way Steve Smith did back when Smith wore a Carolina jersey.

Jackson will get his 45-50 receptions and the occasional touchdown, but nothing of fantasy significance for an early-fifth round pick.

T.Y. Hilton

Hilton’s nickname should be Mr. Invisible. The Colts’ coaching staff completely ignored the uber-talented Hilton last season. And with the addition of Hakeem Nicks, you can expect more of the same.

Hilton would be a tremendous bargain in the early-sixth round of your fantasy draft...if he would get the looks he clearly deserves. Instead, the coaches will peppered him in and out of games each week, which makes him a wasted sixth-round pick.

It’s going to be Blind-Eye T.Y. or The Hidden Hilton Show again in 2014.

Take Torrey Smith instead, or grab Terrance Williams in the seventh round and you’ll get a remarkable return for your pick.

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Cedric Hopkins

Cedric Hopkins Bio

Cedric Hopkins runs this sports law/fantasy football blog. If you have issues with it, it's all his fault. Cedric was an athlete-student at the University of New Mexico (Basketball - Go Lobos!). He then morphed into a student-athlete when he attended law school in San Diego. Age replaced athleticism and now he writes appellate briefs for criminals (alleged criminals, of course) in state and federal cases, including writing U.S. Supreme Court briefs.

For years Cedric has researched and written about legal issues but maintained a love for sports. With FieldandCourt.com, he's combining his two passions: researching and writing about sports. When he's not in court arguing a case before a judge (or writing about himself in the third person), he'll be doing the same with his articles on FieldandCourt.com. Follow me, er, him on Twitter (opens in a new window).

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Cedric Hopkins

Cedric Hopkins runs this sports law/fantasy football blog. If you have issues with it, it's all his fault. Cedric was an athlete-student at the University of New Mexico (Basketball - Go Lobos!). He then morphed into a student-athlete when he attended law school in San Diego. Age replaced athleticism and now he writes appellate briefs for criminals (alleged criminals, of course) in state and federal cases, including writing U.S. Supreme Court briefs.

For years Cedric has researched and written about legal issues but maintained a love for sports. With FieldandCourt.com, he's combining his two passions: researching and writing about sports. When he's not in court arguing a case before a judge (or writing about himself in the third person), he'll be doing the same with his articles on FieldandCourt.com. Follow me, er, him on Twitter (opens in a new window).